This One Number Has Investors Excited About Oracle Stock. Can ORCL Reach $400?

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Oracle Corporation (ORCL) shares surged 9% after the company delivered a standout quarter this week, signaling accelerating momentum across its cloud, artificial intelligence (AI), infrastructure, and database businesses. The strong earnings report highlighted the company’s successful transition from a legacy software vendor into a leading cloud and AI infrastructure provider. This sudden growth in ORCL stock, which is otherwise down 20.19% year-to-date (YTD), also reflects investor optimism that Oracle’s AI-driven growth could sustain strong revenue and earnings expansion in the coming years.

Much of this investor enthusiasm stems from one massive number revealed in Oracle’s results. Even Wall Street is optimistic that the stock can soar to $400 over the next year. Let’s find out if it can.

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Extraordinary Growth in the AI Infrastructure Businesses

Oracle reported a standout third quarter of fiscal 2026, with organic total revenue and adjusted EPS both rising 20% or more for the first time in more than 15 years. Total revenue surged 22% to $17.2 billion with a 21% increase in adjusted earnings to $1.79 per share, surpassing consensus estimates. Earlier, Oracle relied mainly on licensing sales, which were more cyclical. It appears that the company's transition to a recurring revenue model for cloud subscriptions and infrastructure services is paying off, as earnings are now more predictable and scalable.

What surprised investors in Q3 earnings is the extraordinary growth in its emerging infrastructure businesses. Multicloud database revenue surged 531% year-over-year (YOY), while AI infrastructure revenue increased 243% over the same period from last year. Oracle has formed collaborations with major cloud providers such as Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Amazon (AMZN), enabling clients to run Oracle databases across various clouds. This multicloud strategy is generating significant demand from enterprises seeking flexibility without losing Oracle's database technology. Furthermore, management stressed that demand for AI infrastructure, such as GPUs and high-performance computing capacity, continues to outpace supply.

The Massive Backlog is Oracle’s Weapon for the Future

Oracle’s staggering $553 billion remaining performance obligation (RPO) is probably what piqued investors' interest in the company again. RPO represents contracted future revenue yet to be realized. Management said the backlog, which rose 325% YOY, reflects enormous demand for AI infrastructure and cloud services. To fuel future growth, Oracle and its partners have lined up more than 10 gigawatts of data center power capacity slated to come online over the next three years.