President Donald Trump’s approval rating is at a record low for his second term, according to a New York Times/Siena poll released Monday, with Democrats opening up a double-digit edge on the generic ballot ahead of this year’s midterm elections.

While the poll shows widespread discontent with Trump’s presidency, the results suggests the economy and his decision to launch a war with Iran are the leading factors bringing his approval rating to new lows and potentially setting up a massive backlash in November. Only 30% of voters think launching the war was the right decision, and, by a 55% to 21% margin, voters believe the war will not be worth the cost of waging it.

Fifty-nine percent of registered voters disapprove of how Trump is handling his job as president, with just 37% approving. The number of voters who strongly disapprove of Trump’s job performance, 49%, more than doubles the 23% who strongly approve of his tenure in office. The only demographics in which a majority of voters approve of his job performance are white voters without a college degree and Republicans.

His numbers are especially poor among voters he wooed away from Democrats in 2024: Just 19% of voters ages 18-29 approve of Trump’s job performance, as do just 20% of Hispanic voters.

Trump’s approval rating on economic issues and inflation is even worse than for his overall performance: Sixty-four percent of voters disapprove of how he’s handling the economy, and a whopping 70% disapprove of how he’s handling the cost of living. Nearly two-thirds of voters disapprove of how he’s handling the war with Iran.

The survey has Democrats opening up a wide lead on the generic ballots for the midterms, with 50% of registered voters saying they would prefer to vote for a Democratic candidate for Congress and just 39% saying they would prefer to back a Republican.

Notably, the poll shows that 8% of those who backed Trump in 2024 would now prefer a Democrat in 2026, with the party winning those who did not vote in 2024 by a 55% to 24% margin. Independents break for Democratic candidates by a 51% to 33% margin.

The Times and Siena College surveyed 1,507 registered voters nationwide from May 11 to May 15. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

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